Vietnam’s fiscal deficit, including principal repayments, would come in at 6.6 percent of GDP this year and next year, up from 5.9 percent in 2018, Fitch Solutions Macro Research forecast.
Vietnam’s self-sufficiency for crude oil could come to an end due to exploitation that could turn the country into a net importer of crude oil for the first time, experts warned.
The expansion of Vietnam’s road network would continue in the next decade in order to support growing freight transport volumes due a projected increase in economic activity, Fitch Group’s Fitch Solutions Macro Research forecast in a report released on May 14.
The Vietnamese Dong would remain stable against the US dollar in the near future, supported by the country’s robust foreign direct investment (FDI), a healthy current account surplus, and by the central bank’s active intervention, experts forecast.
Vietnam’s economy expanded by 7.1 percent in 2018, but its increasing openness and reliance on foreign investment suggest it is unlikely to be spared from the global growth slowdown arising from rising trade protectionism and tighter financial conditions.
Fitch Solutions Macro Research, a rating agency of Fitch Group, has cut its growth forecast for Malaysia for 2018 to 4.6 percent compared with its previous forecast of 5.1 percent, following a weaker-than-expected performance in the third quarter of the year, according to The Star.