Illustrative image (Photo:haxaco.com.vn) A report by the Ministry of Industry and Trade showed that, in the first fourmonths of 2023, automobile production decreased by 19.3% compared to the sameperiod last year. Besides, car inventory in recent years has also been quitehigh.
Nguyen Ngoc Thanh, Deputy Director of the Department of Industry under theMinistry of Industry and Trade, said that many reasons greatly affected theconsumption of automotive products such as difficult access to bank capital,high interest rates, high exchange rates and inflation, leading to highinventory of auto products in recent years.
According to the Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association (VAMA), domesticcar production sharply declined in the first four months of this year. Car saleswere also on a downward trend. This caused concern among many manufacturingenterprises. In some localities, there might be a deficit in budget revenue,and workers have lost their jobs.
Sales of the whole market in April 2023 only reached 22,409 vehicles, including15,748 passenger cars, 6,487 commercial vehicles and 174 special-purposevehicles. All segments had a sharp decrease compared to March 2023 such aspassenger cars down 27%, commercial vehicles down 19% and special-purpose vehiclesdown 51%.
The cause of this decline is believed to be the cessation of the registrationtax reduction policy. Many domestic automobile enterprises are also facingfierce competition for market share.
The above difficulties are most clearly reflected in the business results ofthe first three months of the automobile enterprises.
Vietnam Engine and Agricultural Machinery Corporation - JSC (VEA) reported a profitafter tax of nearly 1.37 trillion VND (58.3 million USD) in the first quarter,down 7% over the same period last year.
VEAM's profits mainly came from joint ventures and associates such as Honda,Toyota, and Ford. Meanwhile, selling and administrative expenses were almostunchanged in the first three months of this year.
Not only manufacturers, automobile distributors also recorded a dismal firstquarter of 2023.
Savico (SVC), a distributor of many brands such as Toyota, Ford, Honda,Hyundai, Mitsubishi, and Volvo, recorded a profit after tax of only 14.7billion VND, down nearly 85% compared to the same period in 2022, and decreasedmore than 11 times compared to the previous quarter. The amount of inventory ofthe enterprise exceeded 2 trillion VND.
Haxaco (HAX), which distributes Mercedes-Benz brand cars, also recorded arevenue decrease of more than 40%, at less than 1 trillion VND. Profit beforetax was only 5.6 trillion VND in the first quarter, down about 92%.
If the Government continues to apply the policy of reducing registration fee by50% and bank interest rates returning to attractive levels, electric vehiclescan create a breakthrough for the auto industry. In Vietnam, the auto market isforecast to prosper again. At the same time, according to SSI Research, autostocks will attract cash inflows.
In 2022, along with the strong decline of the VN-Index, the market prices ofmany auto stocks decreased from 34% to more than 40%.
Since the decree on reducing registration fees took effect on December 1, 2021,automobile stocks, especially those of big car distribution giants in Vietnam,skyrocketed significantly.
Specifically, in the session on December 1, 2021, three stocks of HAX, SVC andVEA gained to near the ceiling prices.
Notably, SVC shares increased to the ceiling continuously, bringing the marketprice from 96,000 VND per share to 126,000 VND per share - the historical peakprice - in the morning session of December 7, 2021.
Investors can have faith in auto stocks if the registration tax reductionpolicy takes effect again, said SSI Research.
SSI said it was too early to assess the impact of electric vehicles on theautomobile industry in Vietnam. Car manufacturers have just begun to testelectric vehicle sales to gauge consumer interest. Vietnam still does not havea strategy to develop charging station infrastructure for electric vehicles.Moreover, the price of electric vehicles is still high compared to petrolversions.
On the other hand, despite the sluggishness, some car manufacturers, such asToyota, still have plans to increase prices. The reason stems from the risk ofglobal inflation, exchange rate fluctuations, and increased input costs causingcar prices to be higher than previously./.
VNA
