Over the next decade, 36 million more consumers may join Vietnam’s middle class, defined as consumers who spend at least 11 USD a day in purchasing power parity terms. (Photo courtesy of McKinsey)The report “The new faces of the Vietnamese consumer” said that in the nextdecade, Vietnam’s middle class was expected to continue to grow, spreading outgeographically and becoming more diverse.
Powered by continued investments in its manufacturing sector, dynamic foreigndirect investment and rising productivity, Vietnam has been a consistentoutperformer in Asia.
Vietnam is well positioned to be a significant driver of the next chapter ofAsia’s consumption story. Over the next decade, 36 million more consumers mayjoin Vietnam’s consuming class, defined as consumers who spend at least 11 USD aday in purchasing power parity terms.
This is a major change. In 2000, less than 10 percent of Vietnam’spopulation were members of the consuming class, which has risen to 40 percenttoday. By 2030, this figure may be close to 75 percent.
New consumption power is emerging not only from those who have entered theconsuming class for the first time, but from the consuming class’s sharp risewithin the income pyramid.
The two highest tiers of the consuming class (those spending 30 USD or more perday) are growing the fastest and may account for 20 percent of Vietnam’spopulation by 2030.
“Urbanisation is an important contributor to income growth. Vietnam’s urbanpopulation is projected to surge by 10 million over the next decade as the shareof the country’s urban population rises from 37 percent in 2020 to 44 percentby 2030," the report said.
"Cities are likely to be Vietnam’s engine of growth, contributing roughly90 percent of all consumption growth over the next decade. The story of Vietnam’surbanisation has often been centered around the populous cities of Hanoi and HoChi Minh City, with each city home to more than 10 million people and most ofVietnam’s middle class. However, our analysis finds that over the next decade,sources of urban consumption are likely to spread to smaller cities, including CanTho, Da Nang and Hai Phong.”
Across Asia, households are shrinking. The size of the average Vietnamesehousehold has decreased by around 20 percent over the past two decades, from4.5 people per household in 1999 to 3.5 people per household in 2019.
If the experience of other Asian markets holds true in Vietnam, the decliningsize of households may lead to new types of demand, including smaller homes,increased ownership of pets and new forms of entertainment.
Vietnam remains a young country overall, with a median age of 32 in 2020.However, the number of people aged 60 and over is projected to increase by 5million; seniors could account for more than 17 percent of Vietnam’s populationby 2030.
Spending by seniors is expected to triple in the next decade, growing at morethan double the rate for the population as a whole.
So-called digital natives born between 1980 and 2012, including members ofGeneration Z and millennials, are expected to account for around 40 percent of Vietnam’sconsumption by 2030.
Members of this digitally savvy generation live online and on their mobiles.Almost 70 percent of Vietnam’s population in 2020 are internet users. Rapiddigitisation is changing the daily channels and communication methods used byVietnamese people, particularly in e-commerce, where regional players, such asShopee and Lazada, and local players such as Tiki, are active.
The rapid emergence of digital consumers has fuelled innovation in retail and purchasingbehaviour./.
VNA
