Three scenarios affect Thai economic growth

Thaland's National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) reckoned that the Thai economy can be affected by three scenarios taking into account the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and other geopolitical conflicts.

Illustrative image (Photo: AFP/VNA)

Bangkok (VNA) - Thailand's National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) reckoned that the Thaieconomy can be affected by three scenarios taking into account the ongoingRussia-Ukraine war and other geopolitical conflicts.

NESDCDeputy Secretary General Wichayayuth Boonchit said the first and most probablescenario is that if the Russia-Ukraine war continues but the global oil supply isnot affected by sanctions against Russia, Thailand’s economyshould expand between 2.5 and 3.5% this year.

In thesecond but less probable scenario, he said the Thai economy will grow lessthan expected in 2022-2023 if more sanctions are slapped on Russia. This willresult in a surge in the global price of oil and other products.

Thethird and worst scenario is that if a conflict is sparked between the US and China.Wichayayuth said this conflict will spark a global economic recession dependingon the intensity of this and other geopolitical conflicts.

Meanwhile, the JointStanding Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking predicted that theThai economy will grow by 2.75 – 3.5% this year on the back of rising exports,tourist arrivals and Government support./.

VNA

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