Coordinating Minister for Economic AffairsAirlangga Hartanto said the lowering of growth forecast is basedon the forecast that the growth in Q3 would only reach 3.7-4 percent. However, the government is optimistic that growthcould pick up to 7 percent in Q4, the minister said.
According to Airlangga, Indonesia's economic growth will likely be affected bythe emergency public activity restriction in Bali and Javaas the two islands account for 60 percent of the total GDP even thoughthe restriction would only last till July 20.
He saidthat stable exports will contribute to the growth from July to September thisyear. Besides, commodity prices in the global market for Indonesia's exports such as palm oil, coal, nickel, rubber, and aluminum are rising.
Recently, in its June 2021 report on "Indonesia Economic Outlook",the World Bank (WB) forecast that the country's economy will grow by 4.4percent this year, unchanged from the report released in January 2021./.